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User:Vinay Gupta/Gupta State Failure Management Archive

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The Gupta State Failure Management Archive is a 4.3gb archive of Vinay Gupta's work on State Failure centered around the Simple Critical Infrastructure Maps model.

This page is Public Domain (not GFDL) in keeping with the license of the material in the GSFMA. Please note that this will apply to any additions you make to this page. Anything you add here may be repurposed, added to future versions of the archive etc.



A GSFMA Primer[edit]

Start here[edit]


speaks for itself. Do start here. This file is CC licensed NON-COMMERCIAL USE, please note that.

Our needs are what's not optional. Infrastructure is how we solve our needs. Infrastructure can be understood in areas (too hot, too cold, etc) and in layers (self, household, etc). Infrastructure is needed by individuals (to stay alive) and by groups, organisations and states (to stay functioning, ie providing their basic services). Here you'll find a basic vocabulary around these concepts.

The Future We Deserve at Winchester - an overview[edit]


(600mb) – general overview of my work, and our position


(600mb) – second part of the talk, and Q&A



basic infrastructure resources[edit]


basic overview of a tough hexayurt


simple, very, very easy food shopping – can be improved!


appropriate technology and infrastructure theory from STAR-TIDES


a little more infrastructure theory, from a brochure

organizational theory[edit]


Boyd’s OODA loop for organizations[edit]

organizational theory for non-traditional partnerships, taken from civ/mil cooperation


on the limits of collaboration when people are not properly aligned at a psychological level


(390mb) – hardcore mortality analysis of a failed state scenario


light relief, but also vital


The Free City State[edit]




(2) a new model of municipal governance which helps decentralize the power of the Mayor.

The Living City - urban resilience for big cities[edit][edit]

(100mb) – US Urban Resilience analysis we did for Arup. Focuses on cold weather grid stability and pharmaceutical supply chain management


– slides

Through the Looking Glass - quickly model large scale risks[edit]

Estimating mass mortality in the event of a complete collapse. Gives a good overview of the SCIM methodology as a risk estimating tool. Ireland's worst-case mortality appears to be around 3%.


(300mb) – how many groups can cooperate to provide essential services in a crisis scenario. introduces the concept of AIAC.


– slides[edit]

– long range, large scale thinking on natural disasters, including the seeds of what later became SCIM.

web site archives[edit]

These are static images of my various web sites as they were on 6 August 2011. Each will need to be unzipped into its own directory, and should be fully browseable. Search etc. will not work, you'll need to use and ordinary file search tool on your local computer.[edit]

– web site archive[edit]

– an archive of this blog, up until yesterday.[edit]

– web site archive[edit]

– web site archive



– a little on the global situation


– a briefing on how pre-existing cultural faultlines can be just as dangerous as geological faultlines


– the tar file which contains all these files