{"id":112265,"key":"Quantifying_Global_Greenhouse_Gas_Emissions_in_Human_Deaths_to_Guide_Energy_Policy","title":"Quantifying Global Greenhouse Gas Emissions in Human Deaths to Guide Energy Policy","latest":{"id":1224947,"timestamp":"2026-01-09T01:56:29Z"},"content_model":"wikitext","license":{"url":"https://www.appropedia.org/Appropedia:Copyrights","title":"CC-BY-SA-4.0"},"source":"{{FAST notice}}\n\n[[File:Ga 1000tonrule.png|The 1000 ton rule|thumb]]\n\n{{Publication data\n| type = Paper\n| cite-as = Pearce, J.M.; Parncutt, R. Quantifying Global Greenhouse Gas Emissions in Human Deaths to Guide Energy Policy. ''Energies'' 2023, 16, 6074. https://doi.org/10.3390/en16166074 [https://www.academia.edu/105744324/Quantifying_Global_Greenhouse_Gas_Emissions_in_Human_Deaths_to_Guide_Energy_Policy Academia open access] [https://www.preprints.org/manuscript/202307.2087/v1 Pre-print]\n}}\n\nWhen attempting to quantify future harms caused by carbon emissions and to set appropriate energy policies, it has been argued that the most important metric is the number of human deaths caused by climate change. Several studies have attempted to overcome the uncertainties associated with such forecasting. In this article, approaches to estimating future human death tolls from climate change relevant at any scale or location are compared and synthesized, and implications for energy policy are considered. Several studies are consistent with the “1000-ton rule,” according to which a future person is killed every time 1000 tons of fossil carbon are burned (order-of-magnitude estimate). If warming reaches or exceeds 2 °C this century, mainly richer humans will be responsible for killing roughly 1 billion mainly poorer humans through anthropogenic global warming, which is comparable with involuntary or negligent manslaughter. On this basis, relatively aggressive energy policies are summarized that would enable immediate and substantive decreases in carbon emissions. The limitations to such calculations are outlined and future work is recommended to accelerate the decarbonization of the global economy while minimizing the number of sacrificed human lives.\n\n{{Pearce publications notice}}\n\n== Keywords ==\n\n carbon emissions; greenhouse gas emissions; global catastrophic risk; climate change; energy policy; human mortality; climate genocide\n \n {{video|OBFt9D9J6yA}}\n\n== In the News ==\n\n{{Excerpt|FAST News|Quantifying Global Greenhouse Gas Emissions in Human Deaths to Guide Energy Policy}}\n\n# [https://theconversation.com/cop29-climate-change-could-kill-millions-and-world-leaders-must-work-to-limit-fatalities-244024 COP29: Climate change could kill millions — and world leaders must work to limit fatalities] The Conversation\n## [https://ca.news.yahoo.com/cop29-climate-change-could-kill-190109973.html Yahoo]\n## [https://menafn.com/1108929321/COP29-Climate-Change-Could-Kill-Millions-And-World-Leaders-Must-Work-To-Limit-Fatalities MENAFN]\n## [https://www.inkl.com/news/cop29-climate-change-could-kill-millions-and-world-leaders-must-work-to-limit-fatalities Inkl]\n## [https://www.preventionweb.net/news/cop29-climate-change-could-kill-millions-and-world-leaders-must-work-limit-fatalities Prevention Web]\n## [https://www.winnipegfreepress.com/uncategorized/2024/11/27/cop29-climate-change-could-kill-millions-and-world-leaders-must-work-to-limit-fatalities Winnipeg Free Press]\n## [https://phys.org/news/2024-11-cop29-climate-millions-world-leaders.html Phys]\n## [https://smartwatermagazine.com/blogs/joshua-m-pearce/cop29-climate-change-could-kill-millions-and-world-leaders-must-work-limit SmartWater Magazine]\n# [https://news.westernu.ca/2024/11/limiting-climate-change-related-deaths/ Expert insight: World leaders must work to limit climate change related deaths] Western News\n\n== See also ==\n\n{{Pearce-climate-crisis}}\n\n{{Page data\n| title-tag = Global GHG Emissions in Human Deaths for Energy Policy\n| part-of = FAST Completed\n| keywords = carbon emissions, greenhouse gas emissions, global catastrophic risk, climate change, energy policy, human mortality, climate genocide\n| sdg = SDG07 Affordable and clean energy, SDG13 Climate action, SDG10 Reduced inequalities\n| published = 2023\n| organizations = Free Appropriate Sustainable Technology, Western\n| license = CC-BY-SA-4.0\n| language = en\n| authors = User:J.M.Pearce\n| description = Understand how emissions impact global mortality. Appropedia highlights urgent links between energy policy and health.\n}}\n\n[[Category:business]]\n[[Category:climate change]]\n[[Category:global warming]]\n[[Category:energy policy]]\n[[Category:FAST Completed]]"}