Hey, all:

The intro to this topic needs serious revision. Peak Oil is not a "belief". There is no mechanism or process involving faith involved. Peak Oil is the calculated determination that the petroleum resources of a given area are finite, reach a peak of production, and then decline. Peak Oil was first developed by petroleum geologist M. King Hubbert in the 1950s and presented against great opposition and even ridicule. He calculated Peak Oil for the USA for the early 1970s, which then happened. He calculated Peak Oil for the state of Texas USA to occur in the early 1980s, which it then experienced. Peak Oil has been calculated and then realized for other many producing areas. The calculation of reserves and production takes on a bell-shaped distribution curve, and this same bell-shaped curve has been applied after the fact to other petroleum producers, and found to be a very close match. Nowhere in any of this is there "belief" or faith. Hubbert's work has been rightfully vindicated.

The same peak calculations can be and have been applied to other extracted resources such as natural gas, coal, and Uranium. If the calculations used have the same rigor as those used by Hubbert, they also will be spot on target.

Global Peak Oil is not controversial, except for the professional marketeers and naysayers in the Carbon extraction industry. The science is cut and dried, then it has to be assailed by a bunch of self-serving, red-faced, know-nothings. Just as in Hubbert's case, they can't disprove the facts, so they resort to ridicule and the most fallacious arguments, and distractions. Millions spent on marketing to justify billions in profits.

At the very least, please let's clean up this page, so it reflects science, and not belief and marketing.

David Messages done with sustainable energy, with Wind and Sun! 0043 CDT 10 Aug 2008

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