Line 47: Line 47:


* A Country That Has More Than 100 Nukes Is Just Owning Itself [https://motherboard.vice.com/en_us/article/bj337a/a-country-that-has-more-than-100-nukes-is-just-owning-itself MotherBoard] 167
* A Country That Has More Than 100 Nukes Is Just Owning Itself [https://motherboard.vice.com/en_us/article/bj337a/a-country-that-has-more-than-100-nukes-is-just-owning-itself MotherBoard] 167
* 100 nuclear weapons could destroy life [http://video.foxnews.com/v/5797590750001/?#sp=show-clips Fox News Video] 251
* World War Three Cometh (Revelation 15) [https://medium.com/@andrewprophet/world-war-three-cometh-revelation-15-7cef97128c27 Medium] 267
* World War Three Cometh (Revelation 15) [https://medium.com/@andrewprophet/world-war-three-cometh-revelation-15-7cef97128c27 Medium] 267
* Doomsday warning: It would only take 100 nuclear weapons to wreak global devastation [http://www.foxnews.com/tech/2018/06/14/doomsday-warning-it-would-only-take-100-nuclear-weapons-to-wreak-global-devastation.html# Fox News] 261, [http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/3663190/posts?page=29 Free Republic] 21818
* Doomsday warning: It would only take 100 nuclear weapons to wreak global devastation [http://www.foxnews.com/tech/2018/06/14/doomsday-warning-it-would-only-take-100-nuclear-weapons-to-wreak-global-devastation.html# Fox News] 261, [http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/3663190/posts?page=29 Free Republic] 21818
Line 74: Line 75:
* Nuclear war would be ‘national suicide’ due to ‘blowback’ from doomsday weapons, scientists warn [https://theworldnews.net/gb-news/nuclear-war-would-be-national-suicide-due-to-blowback-from-doomsday-weapons-scientists-warn The World News UK] 90329
* Nuclear war would be ‘national suicide’ due to ‘blowback’ from doomsday weapons, scientists warn [https://theworldnews.net/gb-news/nuclear-war-would-be-national-suicide-due-to-blowback-from-doomsday-weapons-scientists-warn The World News UK] 90329
* It would only take 100 nuclear bombs to cause global devastation, study warns [http://www.infosurhoy.com/cocoon/saii/xhtml/en_GB/science/it-would-only-take-100-nuclear-bombs-to-cause-global-devastation-study-warns/ Infosurhoy]
* It would only take 100 nuclear bombs to cause global devastation, study warns [http://www.infosurhoy.com/cocoon/saii/xhtml/en_GB/science/it-would-only-take-100-nuclear-bombs-to-cause-global-devastation-study-warns/ Infosurhoy]
 
* Doomsday warning: It would only take 100 nuclear weapons to wreak global devastation [https://www.f3nws.com/news/doomsday-warning-it-would-only-take-100-nuclear-weapons-to-wreak-global-devastation-470b0fd8 F3NWS]
===Russia===
===Russia===



Revision as of 10:14, 25 June 2018

Source

Nukenumbers.png

Abstract

This study determines the nuclear pragmatic limit where the direct physical negative consequences of nuclear weapons use are counter to national interests, by assuming all unknowns are conservatively optimistic. The only effect considered is nuclear winter (“nuclear autumn” in the low weapons limits) and the resultant effects on the aggressor nation. First, the ability of low nuclear weapon limits is probed for maintaining deterrence in the worst-case scenario of attacking the most-populous nation. Second, the ability of aggressor nations to feed themselves is assessed without trade and industry resultant from a nuclear attack causing “nuclear autumn” (10% global agricultural shortfall). Third, the best-case wealthy aggressor nation with abundant arable land is analyzed for starvation and economic impacts given 7000, 1000, and 100 nuclear weapons scenarios. The results found that 100 nuclear warheads is adequate for nuclear deterrence in the worst case scenario, while using more than 100 nuclear weapons by any aggressor nation (including the best positioned strategically to handle the unintended consequences) even with optimistic assumptions (including no retaliation) would cause unacceptable damage to their own society. Thus, 100 nuclear warheads is the pragmatic limit and use of government funds to maintain more than 100 nuclear weapons does not appear to be rational.

Keywords

nuclear war; global catastrophic risk; existential risk; nuclear weapons; nuclear proliferation; nuclear winter; national survival; futures; nuclear safety; atomic bombs; global catastrophic risk; existential risk;

See Also

Feeding Everyone No Matter What
Error in widget YouTube: Unable to load template 'wiki:YouTube'


Davos IDRC Conference

In the News

  • A Country That Has More Than 100 Nukes Is Just Owning Itself MotherBoard 167
  • 100 nuclear weapons could destroy life Fox News Video 251
  • World War Three Cometh (Revelation 15) Medium 267
  • Doomsday warning: It would only take 100 nuclear weapons to wreak global devastation Fox News 261, Free Republic 21818
  • Morbid Researchers Imagine a 'Best-Case Scenario' for Nuclear War, and the Results Are Grim Gizmodo 508, Gizmodo Australia 17360
  • How Many Nukes Would It Take To Totally Screw Humanity? IFL Science 3178
  • Nuclear holocaust needs only 100 missiles 9News (Australia) 6442
  • Here's What The "Best Case Scenario" For Nuclear Warfare Is Like, According to Science, Spoiler: not good, very bad. Science Alert 8078
  • Doomsday warning: It would only take 100 nuclear weapons to wreak global devastation Hot Air 15762
  • Nuclear Arsenal Of Over 100 Weapons In One Country Becomes Self-Defeating: Study - IBT Times 17275
  • US needs to cut its nukes by 98% if the world is to avoid a nuclear winter Alphr 18225
  • Paper Reveals Amount Of Nuclear Weapons Fatal To Own Citizens Of The Firing Nation Tech Times 22216
  • It would only take 100 nuclear bombs to cause global devastation, chilling study warns (yet there are 15,000 around the world) What really happened 46760
  • Don’t have too many nukes Electronics Weekly 128204
  • How many nuclear weapons is enough to have a country for its security The Weekly Observer
  • Study identifies nuclear war tipping point for global devastation Earth.com

UK

  • Nuclear weapons warning from scientists: beware of environmental blowback Yahoo News UK 7
  • Scientists just analysed a ‘best case’ scenario nuclear war, and it’s pretty alarming Yahoo News UK 7
  • 'Best case scenario' for nuclear war could still trigger global 'nuclear autumn,' killing millions of people through starvation - including some of the attacker's own population, study warns Daily Mail (UK) 158 (3rd largest, circ: 1,343,142), Mogaznews, Unv.is (Sweden)
  • 100 warheads enough to cause starvation and 'nuclear autumn' Telegraph UK 553 (8th largest circ:385,346), Press Reader 7774
  • NUCLEAR AUTUMN Just 100 of the world’s 15,000 nuclear bombs are needed to devastate the planet, chilling study warns The Sun 837 (ranked #1 circ: 1,545,594)
  • Nuclear weapons warning from scientists: beware of environmental blowback British Telecom 1501
  • Here’s how many nuclear weapons it would take to wipe out the UK Metro UK 1640
  • Nuclear war WARNING: Trump risks killing 50 times more Americans than 9/11 with OWN nukes Daily Star 2461 (7th largest circ:391,998)
  • Morbid Researchers Imagine a 'Best-Case Scenario' for Nuclear War, and the Results Are Grim Gizmodo UK 25147
  • Nuclear weapons warning from scientists: beware of environmental blowback Evening Express UK 79853, Express and Star 57236, Shropshire Star 97435, Bailiwick Express
  • Nuclear war would be ‘national suicide’ due to ‘blowback’ from doomsday weapons, scientists warn The World News UK 90329
  • It would only take 100 nuclear bombs to cause global devastation, study warns Infosurhoy
  • Doomsday warning: It would only take 100 nuclear weapons to wreak global devastation F3NWS

Russia

  • Физики из США уточнили прогнозы по наступлению "ядерной зимы" Ria (Russia) -391, Day.az 5958
  • Учёные сделали прогнозы по наступлению «ядерной зимы» и гибели человечества Rusvesna 2004
  • Ученые спрогнозировали "ядерную зиму" utro.ru 11057
  • Ядерные державы полным ходом готовятся к Судному дню ZNAJ 11332
  • Ядерні держави повним ходом готуються до Судного дня ZNAJ 11332
  • Физики озвучили, когда начнется ядерная зима ZNAJ 11332
  • Фізики озвучили, коли почнеться ядерна зима ZNAJ 11332
  • Teadlased: rohkem kui saja tuumapommi õhkimine võrdub riikliku enesetapuga Novaator (russia) 27183, w3.ee
  • Учёные сделали прогнозы по наступлению «ядерной зимы» и гибели человечества Poliksal (Russia), Newstut
  • Physicists from the United States said projections upon the occurrence of a «nuclear winter» Russia News Today

Other International

Cookies help us deliver our services. By using our services, you agree to our use of cookies.